Tuesday, January 05, 2010

Accumulation and Decomposition in the Era of Lift and Separate, Continued

The Long Good-bye
1. Heading South
Living the life it calls its own only because it has appropriated the time of others, the bourgeoisie--capital personified--imagines its order, its rule as eternal; as always a beginning without an end, just like the exchanges in its marketplace, an endless repetition of aggrandizement. It's as if for the bourgeoisie as if is quite enough. As if all thought, all exchanges, all labor, throughout all of history had a purpose, and the purpose was the perfection of accumulation. As if everything was meant to be, and every thing that was meant to be, was meant to be the bourgeoisie's.
"Give me a cash register and a place to sit," says our bourgeoisie, "and I'll reproduce the expanding universe. And call it value."
Living a life it can never really call its own because its existence is the appropriation of time belonging to others, our class of capitalists senses itself to be running short on time, losing time. Obsolescence shadows and illuminates, follow and leads our bourgeoisie in its every advance. Obsolescence is the cost and content of progress. At its most modern, the bourgeoisie embraces the most backward, and at the core of its universe of expanding value, the black hole of devaluation.
After the panic of 1857, the emergent capitalism of the Northern United States recovered just enough to take itself right into the recession of 1861. The solution to the problems of expansion appeared in the dream of unimpeded expansion. The obstacle to unimpeded expansion was, of course, the slave economy of the South; the economy that had been like mother's milk to the merchant and industrial bourgeoisie of the North, or more correctly, the Northeast. These big, or at least bigger, capitalists, survived, prospered by accommodating the needs of the South; by adapting its own needs to those of the plantation owners. They were a bit hesitant to slice off the breast that had suckled them.
Not so the case with the farmers of the North, with the farmers of the Northwest, with the farmers of the West. The slave economy of the South maintained its political control of the Union only to the extent that it maintained itself as the fundamental impediment to the expansion of free farming.
For our merchant capitalist, freedom was an abstraction, profit was the concrete. For the farmers of the North, freedom was earthly, freedom was a function of property. "Free soil" was simultaneously a political and an economic program. Freedom itself was a market transaction, an expanding exchange. Free soil, access to soil meant access to land, to buying and selling of land and the buying and selling of the products of the land-- the soil as distinct from the laborer. The farmer wasn't bought. The product of the farmer's labor was bought. Farming for subsistence, for subsistence plus surplus, for the satisfaction of domestic needs had been in decline since the close of the War of 1812. Farming was for the market. The moment of wealth, of value, became real, solid, capital, only in the distinction of the product of the farmer's labor from the farmer's needs, from the farmer himself.
Free soil meant free labor. Access to labor meant the buying and selling of labor, the power to labor, rather than the laborer himself/herself. The moment of wealth, of value, materialized only in the distinction of the product of the "free laborers" from the laborers' needs; the separation of labor-power from the laborers themselves.
This free soil army, if not a new model at least a new market army, would do for the bourgeoisie what the bourgeoisie was reluctant to do for itself. For the Union to survive, slavery had to go. It did go
Dragged along, our foot-dragging, line toeing, fence-sitting bourgeoisie reluctantly engaged the South in the Civil War, consoling itself with the government contracts it captured for supplying the Union army, soothing itself with the interest collected from the government debt-- resigned, optimistic, despairing, hopeful, somber, frantic- those qualities so essential to the progress of a salesman.
2. And After...
Victorious in the Civil War, with the triumph of free soil assuring the access to free labor, the bourgeoisie declared the property of the slaveholders to be free, but the freedom of property is not the emancipation of labor. Reconstruction in the South was designed to transform a population that had toiled collectively, that had labored socially, into a mass of individual small property holders. The radical Reconstructionists dreamed of a league of black yeoman farmers. The reality of capitalism was that the time of the yeoman farmer was long gone, gone even as the yeoman farmers of the North forced victory upon the bourgeoisie. The reality was that with the end of the Civil War, capitalism had established more than the "freedom" of property. Capitalism had secured the point of separation, the point of antagonism between the freedom of property and the emancipation of labor, the point at the heart of capitalist production.
The end of Reconstruction was determined well before the compromise of 1877. The defeat of Reconstruction was assured even before the panic of 1873; before even the Paris Commune had put the feet of the foot-dragging bourgeoisie to the fire. The end of Reconstruction was determined by the same objective of the bourgeoisie during the Civil war. That objective was the need to establish and consolidate a national market.
The North had secured its victory of the South when its army moved away from the "Anaconda" strategy of slowly squeezing the strength from the Confederacy through containment and blockade and embraced Grant's meat grinder strategy. Lincoln had found his general all right, two or three of them in fact, generals who where able to apply the weight of the North's quantitative and qualitative superiority in the means of communication, transportation, production to bear upon the South. Heavier battalions mean something in combat. Heavier maneuver battalions count for a whole lot more. When the battalions can be delivered rapidly ahead of or behind the enemy; when the battalions can be resupplied and refitted in the field during battle, losses can be absorbed without the loss of combat capability, pursuit can be maintained, and the most difficult movement of all, an orderly disengagement with the enemy to implement a new maneuver can be achieved.
The North's superior industry, telegraph, locomotives, provided the amplification of force through transport, communication, resupply-- through the management of logistics. The Civil War was prelude, overture, development, and coda to the great themes of modern capitalism: the creation of markets through destruction, the expansion of power through successive applications of mechanical force, the concentration of capital through the devaluation of existing capitals, through overproduction.
The need of capital is always for access to "free" dispossessed labor, itself a product of "free soil," of breaking the connections of subsistence, use, and use in common of land; establishing the distinction between owner and laborer, between possession and production, between product and commodity-- between land as a means of production and land as a means of subsistence.
The history of capital, however, is the history of self-contradiction; development of capital reproduces these self-contradictions, so that at one and the same time, capital breaks up the bondage of labor to land, of the ownership of the laborer rather than the products of labor, only to reconstruct those forms on a more "modern" basis. Deprivation of freedom becomes the immiseration of the quality of freedom. No longer a slave, the laborer is neither bought nor sold, he or she is leased, indentured to landed property through judicial penalty, debt peonage, non-economic compulsion, most all through terror.
Capital, the irresistible force, has run into the movable but ever present obstacle, which is itself, private property. The radical capitalists imagine the emancipating impulse of capital to be the creation of millions of small property holders, when it is nothing other than the impulse to create a social organization of labor that can be exploited.
The moment for the creation of yeoman free soil farming in the South had been crushed by the weight of the plantations; by the ability, and willingness of the plantation owner to work his slaves to death to preserve revenues as opposed to accumulating capital. The future for yeoman farming was being destroyed in the North by the immense concentrations of capital represented in the very railroads that carried, in just seven days, the yeoman farmers of the Union's Army of the Potomac from Virginia to Tennessee to effect the relief of Rosencrans.
4. For example...
[The following is, in large part, a brief summation of a critical period in Reconstruction presented by Scott Reynolds Nelson in his book Iron Confederacies: Southern Railways, Klan Violence, and Reconstruction, University of North Carolina Press, 1999]
Thomas A. Scott, vice-president of the Pennsylvania Railroad had worked diligently, and brilliantly, in moving the 11th and 12th Corps of that Army westward. At the conclusion of the war, Scott determined to create and control a unified network of rail lines in the South, extending from Washington, DC to Atlanta and on to New Orleans. Successful in gaining control of some state, and partly-state owned railroads, Scott faced the opposition of the once and ever prominent former officers of the Confederacy whose rail lines that would be eviscerated if Scott's plans were successful.
In Georgia, opposition to Scott's plan for rail consolidation was the vehicle for the violent "redemptionist" attacks on black legislators, skilled black workers, and the Republican governor, Rufus Bullock. Bullock had aided Scott's efforts, not the least by leasing out convict labor for the construction of Scott's railroad in Georgia.
In September1868, the Georgia legislature expelled all the black representatives, but voted to provide bond guarantees to the state's railroads, including Scott's.
In 1869, Bullock, knowing a terrorist when he saw a white sheet, utilized revenues from the state's Western and Atlantic railroad to pay for, among many other things, bounties for the arrest of Klan members.
Now it's one thing for the state to lease convicts to private contractors, and to award its tax revenues to railroads, and it's some of that same thing for the railroads to return some of those social revenues in the form of private payments to the representatives of the state. All of that falls into the category of businessmen doing business. Using the revenues of a railroad however to fund bounties on arrest of white men, white property owners is something else, and something else very disturbing to other white property owners, like Northern industrial capitalists, like Northern bankers.
By the time the federal government had restored the black representatives to the Georgia legislature, Bullock had leased the entire prison population to Scott's contractor. Bullock was attacked, and rightly so, as promoting chain gang slavery.
Scott knew Bullock's days were numbered, and he knew Reconstruction's days were numbered, in part because he was doing the numbering. Railroads required capital, capital required the stability of private property, the stability of private property required the acquiescence and subjugation of labor. In 1870 Scott, planning creation of the Southern Railway Security Company, a holding company which actually performed no business other than the holding of titles, deeds, stocks, sat down to dinner with Ben Hill, the voice of Klan terror in Georgia; Joseph Brown, former military governor of Georgia, Simon Cameron, former secretary of war in Lincoln's cabinet, and Columbus Delano, then current secretary of the interior in Grant's cabinet.
The topic of dinner table conversation was railroads. Not exactly. The topic was the ownership of railroads in order to make money. Scott's holding company would be fronted by Hill and Brown, in a show of reconciliation that would gag a maggot. The company would buy up the stock in major railroads in the South. Scott would have his network. Hill would have his redemption as Delano toasted the state of Georgia, essentially promising that Union troops would not defend Bullock, black legislators, and black voters.
Redemption had begun. The market was there to be made, but to be made it first had to be made secure. It was secured. The very advance of capital had conjoined the future of accumulation with the immediacy of deconstruction, expansion with regression, development with redemption. The progress of capitalism is marked in its embrace with reaction
The fate of Reconstruction was sealed. Reconstruction would die. Reconstruction had to be killed. It was killed.
In 1877, Tom Scott delivered the congressional votes that sealed the compromise that elected Hayes, that withdrew the last of the Federal troops from the South. In exchange, Scott received federal guarantees on the bonds of the failing Texas and Pacific railroad.
In 1877, the B&O Railroad unilaterally reduce wages twice in response to the depression that followed the Panic of 1873. The railroad's workers struck the railroad, blocking the movement of all traffic. The strike spread throughout the national rail network.
In 1877, Tom Scott of the Pennsylvania Railroad stated that strikers "should be fed a rifle diet for a few days and see how they like that kind of bread." Hayes delivered the rifle diet, with Federal troops, now removed from the South, ordered to break the strikes.
Standard Railroad of the World? Indeed, very low standards.
All the elements of modern US capitalism were in place.
Sources: Rescue By Rail, Roger Pickenpaugh, University of Nebraska Press, 1998; Railroads in The Civil War, John E. Clark Jr., Louisiana State University Press, 2001; The Northern Railroads in the Civil War, 1861-1865, Thomas Weber, Indiana University Press, 1952; Iron Confederacies; Southern Railways, Klan Violence, And Reconstruction, Scott Reynolds Nelson, The University of North Carolina Press, 1999.
4. OPM
The contradictions inherent in the movement of capitalist society impress themselves upon the practical bourgeois most strikingly in the changes of the periodic cycle, through which modern industry runs, and whose crowning point is the universal crisis. That crisis is once again approaching, although as yet but in its preliminary stage; and by the universality of its theatre and the intensity of its action it will drum dialectics even into the heads of the mushroom-upstarts of the new, holy Prusso-German Empire.
-- Karl Marx, Preface to the Second Edition, Capital, Volume 1, January 24, 1873.
In 1873, the United States entered into an economic contraction of greater severity and duration than those it had previously endured. The depression would last six years, and would only be relieved in the US when sustained crop failures almost everywhere except the US reversed the price declines of US grain exports in the world markets. The "uptick" lasted through 1881. In 1882, the US entered another recession, this one lasting three years to 1885. From 1885 to 1893, the US economy revolved in approximate three year cycles, with two years of expansion rotating into a year of contraction. In 1893, the United States entered into another severe and extended depression with unemployment levels reaching fifteen percent. The close of this cycle was marked by the initiation of the Spanish-American War.
The economies of France, Germany, Belgium, Australia, Britain operated in cycles similar to those of the United States. The entire period is known as the "long deflation," for the steady decline in producer, wholesale, and consumer prices. In the US, wages also declined. Overall, however, despite the periodic and intense declines, the period of the long deflation was a period of sustained growth in GDP per capita, GDP per hour worked, value of exports, and value of merchandise exports.
In his study, The World Economy, Angus Maddison extends the boundaries to include the period from 1870-1913. He calculates the growth in GDP per capita during this period at seventy five percent for twelve countries of Western Europe. For the US, his figure is one hundred percent. GDP per hour worked increased ninety percent for the Western European countries and 127 percent for the United States; the value of exports 329 percent for the twelve of Western Europe, 600 percent for the United States; volume of merchandise exports 300 percent for Western Europe, 800 percent for the United States, 800 percent for Argentina, 700 percent for Australia, and 1000 percent for Mexico.
The long deflation was rooted in the very same dynamic that propelled the cumulative growth of this period. The deflation was based on the amplification of labor productivity through the application of machine power to the production and transportation of commodities. More than an application, machine power was the substitution, reducing the proportion of labor in production; reducing the time of production and the time in transit; reducing the circulation time of the commodity so that it might be transformed into money.
If increased aggregate amounts of production, reduced unit costs of production, and greater profits constitute the paradise, salvation, and redemption, the trinity of capital, then the aggrandizement of surplus value through its expulsion from the labor process is its holy grail. Reduction in transit time, the circulation time, so that money can more rapidly, and frequently shed its earthly form of commodity-capital and achieve the miracle of transubstantiation-- where it assumes its heavenly form as profit-- is its holy sub-grail. With the opening of the Suez Canal, the application of steam power to the maritime shipping, with expansion of railroads, capitalism was feeling nearer to god than ever. Except, of course, when it wasn't; when its accelerated production of commodities at reduced costs swamped the decks of the good ship Lollipops, when the anchors of such machinery dragged profits under.
Reduced transit times create reduced the reproduction costs of transit. Reduced transit time equals more rapid conversion of the commodity into money, equals reduced time of turnover, equals more frequent turnovers, equals more rapid recoverty of amounts invested in the constant elements of production, particularly the "sunk" fixed assets, equals increased and more rapid conversions of money back into the components of capitalist production, into greater quantities, and values, of raw materials, more fixed assets, more fuel, more wage-labor, which equals accumulation, which equals expanded reproduction, which is the conversion of revenue into increased production. What a wonderful world it is when everything equals everything; when everything that is, equals more, and everything more equals cash flow.
Within accumulation during the long deflation, there was an alteration, a cumulative if uneven change in the proportions exchanged between living wage-labor and the inanimate materials of production. This change in ratios reduced unit labor costs, reduced production costs, increased production. Now industrial capitalism, industrial-based commodity production is not like other commodity production. Capitalism's markets are not like other markets. Prior to capitalism when, and if, commodities were produced, it was by chance, by fortune, by nature's bounty or benevolence. Commodities existed only after needs. As miserable as subsistence based production, as the production of owners who are both owners and direct producers, can be, its very existence is antithetical to capitalist commodity production. As lucrative as "subsistence plus surplus" can be for the direct producer, and/or the merchant intermediary, it too cannot sustain capitalism, nor reproduce itself as capitalism, as the direct producers' needs remain a priority and interrupt, obstruct exchange. Only when the producer is no longer directly producing and consuming for subsistence, only when the producer no longer possesses any means for subsistence, only when producers indirectly secure their subsistence by selling their labor power, only when the needs of the producers become essentially immaterial and invisible to the production of marketable values, only when labor itself is only a means of exchange do we get true commodity production, do we get "self"-expanding value-- capital.
This true commodity, this true commodity production, is not like any that has come before it, and there will be no commodity production to follow it. Invisibility is its vector, its ways and means, its transparent and evident manifestation. Value, cloaking the commodity, hides its own makeup in this act of camouflage. This true commodity is like no other in that the qualities of its existence are not need our usefulness, but need or usefulness as mediated, as presented, as materialized by the social relation of production. Value then, in all its invisibility obscures just that social relation. Value then as this materialized social relation can only maintain its existence to the degree that it renews itself through renewed demands on the organization of labor. Value then exists everywhere and invisibly only to the extent that it can command the production of more value; to the extent that it can create and populate a whole universe of increasing values. Value exists only as the process of valorization.
The social process of valorisation means that the unpaid labor concealed in the wage-form, and the paid labor displayed almost as a diversion in the wage form, and the value of the materials and machinery consumed at different rates in production cannot be realized by any single capitalist in aliquot parts apportioned to the components of value, to the components of the productive process. The return on the commodities is the return on the complete cycle of production.
The value existing in the commodities exists in a "shared state," a collective tension with all the commodites produced not just by that capitalist enterprise, but in a shared state of collective tension with the totality of commodities produced by all capitalist enterprises. Such is the meaning of exchangable value; of equivalent values. Surplus value cannot be aggrandized as profit through the circulation of fractions of the commodity-capital, because the surplus value can materialize as money by claiming a portion of the total profit in the markets as money. The individual commodity is meaningless, and useless, in capitalism. The metamorphoses of all commodities into money for the purpose of converting revenue into means of purchase of increased components of capital is....priceless.
The capitalist thinks he or she is retrieving all of his or her owned value in the market. In reality, the profit any capitalist obtains is a portion of the total profit realized through the expanded reproduction of capitalism as a whole.
In this collective tension is both the source and the manifestation of capital's success and failure, each through the other. The realization of the surplus value appropriated by any individual capital depends upon the realization of the surplus value appropriated by all capitals. At the same time, the market is a distributive mechanism. The realization of any value in relation to all other values is also dependent upon proportional devaluation, loss of marketability, of market share, of sections of the total commodity capital pushed into the markets.
With the continued amplifications of labor productivity through machine power production increased, costs of production decreased, greater masses of commodities crowded each other and the markets, prices declined, greater numbers of commodities could not realize their value, and died in the markets. Turnover slowed, extended, dragged. What a miserable world it becomes when everything that once equalled more now equals less.
Price drops were dramatic and sustained. Between 1870 and 1880, food prices declined twenty-three percent, rents by eleven percent, clothing by thirty-three percent, fuel prices by twenty-five percent.
With this decline, daily earnings of workers also declined. In 1865, the daily wage for non-farm employees stood at $1.54. By 1870, it had fallen to $1.47; by 1875, $1.27; 1880, $1.16; 1885, .90, a cumulative decline of forty percent in fifteen years.
The average monthly earnings, with board, for US agricultural workers follwed a similar downward trend, from $16.57 in 1870 to $11.70 in 1880. The monthly wage had recovered to $13.93 in 1890, but the 1870 peak was not exceed until the turn of the century.
Declining wage rates were one product of the tremendous improvements in labor productivity, unit output per unit time, brought about the substitution of machine power for labor power in the production processes. Time isn't the measure of all things, but it is the measure of all of capital. In US agriculture, labor-hours required for the production of one hundred bushels of wheat dropped from 233 hours in 1840 to the 1880 mark of 152 hours. The labor-hours required for production of 100 bushels of corn declined from 276 hours to 180 hours. Labor-hours declined even in the South, even in the production of cotton. The working time represented by 100 bales of cotton declined from the 1840 level of 448 hours to the 1880 level of 303 hours.
The social transformation precipitated by the increased productivity of agriculture and industry was the transformation from an agricultural based capitalism to an industrial based capitalism. While both the agricultural and urban laboring populations consistently grew during the post-Civil War period, by 1880 non-agricultural employment was twice that of agricultural employment. The "value-added" in agricultural production, the value/receipts for shipments minus raw material and intermediate inputs [fuel, fertilizer, etc.] exceeded that of manufacturing throughout the 19th century until 1884, when the relation was first reversed. By 1894, the value-added in manufacturning was 60 percent greater than the amount added through agriculture. Value-added by manufacturing grew, in constant 1879 dollars, from $1.96 billion in 1879 to $3.22 billion in 1884 to $5.48 billion in 1894. The ratio of value-added in manufacturing to the wages of production workers increased from 2.07 in 1879 to 2.83 in 1899.
The amplification of labor-productivity, the proportional expulsion of labor-power and its replacement by machines drove prices down and production up. The more the total capital increased, the more the means of production expanded, the more the output increased, the more the efficiency of the means of transportaton and circulation increased, then the lower the prices. The lower the prices, the greater the volumes of commodity capital poured into the markets to realize, to garner, a portion of the profits. The greater the volumes of commodities poured into the markets, the more capital required extension of the markets, the increase of the arena, geographically, those relations of exchange for which reason alone, capital existed. The greater capital's need for expansion of the markets, the greater the need for greater amounts of capital to be advanced in the production process. Consequently, capital existed in a perpetual, or near perpetual, condition of overproduction-- producing commodities at a far greater rate than it was capable of reproducing the social relations that could realize, and ration, the mass of profits necessary to the expanded reproduction. Production outruns reproduction. Devaluation of larger numbers and amounts of commodity-capital becomes essential to the realization and rationing of any profit whatsoever. The means of production, the productive power of labor, have outgrown the relations of production.
Between 1879 and 1889 the book value, in constant 1929 dollars of the capital invested in US manufacturing added 131 percent of its original value . Between 1889 and 1899, the capital invested in manufacturing added another 67 percent. By the turn of the century, the cumulative growth had added $13.8 billion to the original amount of $4.8 billion.
David A. Wells, in his Recent Economic Changes, D. Appleton & Co., 1889, writes in his preface:
"Concurrently, or as the necessary sequence of these changes, has come a series of wide-spread and complex disturbances; manifesting themselves in great reductions of the cost of production and distribution and a consequent remarkable decline in the prices of nearly all staple commodities, in a radical change in the relative values of the precious metals, in the absolute destruction of large amounts of capital through new inventions and discoveries and in impairment of even greater amounts through extensive reductions in the rates of interest and profits, in the discontent of labor and in an increasing antagonism of nations, incident to a greatly intensified industrial commerical competition."
Let the good times roll.
Wells, in this remarkable book, examines the depth and breadth of the recent changes, identifying at every turn the increased productivity of labor, the intensification of the production process through the substitution of machine for labor power, as the source for the price declines and the destruction of capital. In what reads like a catalogue of exasperations, Wells continues:
"...railroads, ships, houses, live-stock, food, clothing, fuel and luxuries have year by year been accumulating and with the greatest rapidity and offered for use of consumption at rates unprecedented of cheapness. If lack of capital, furthermore, by destruction or perversion, had been the cause, the rate of profit on the use of capital would have been higher; but the fact is, that the rate of profit on even the most promising kinds of capital during recent years has been exceptionally low."
Wells is perplexed by the seemingly unending expansion of trade despite the steadily declining prices and the shortage of profits:
"In fact the volume of trade, or the quantities of commodities produced, moved exchanged has never been so great in the history of the world as during the last ten of fifteen years; and the soc-called depression of trade during this time has been mainly due to a reduction of profit to such an extent that...it has not paid to do business. "
How to explain this? First, it still paid to do business, for some businesses, and it paid for the totality of business. In agriculture, between 1870 and 1880, the wholesale price for wheat dropped from $1.37 to $1.06 per bushel. Between 1880 and 1887, prices declined to 77 cents per bushel. Costs of production however had declined to 42 cents per bushel.
In manufacturing, some, but not all, rates of profit of some capitals were exceptionally low. The ratio of the total value of manufactured products to the total costs of raw materials, fuels, purchased energy plus wages was 124 percent in 1879, 133 percent in 1889, 136 percent in 1899. Through all its bankruptcies, contractions, deflations, capital was accumulating; accumulating profits, and accumulating through devaluation.
The increasing importance of manufacturing to the US and global capitalist expansion was built upon improved agricultural productivity, increased production, reduced transit times and costs of food products. Declining food prices not only, and were not the only force that, drove down the costs of reproduction of labor, that drove down wages. Across the globe reduced prices for agricultural output displaced less-efficient agricultural producers directly in their home markets. Wheat flour from Minnesota was cheaper in Milan than flour from wheat raised in Lombardy.
The small producers were being ruined. Outside the more advanced capitalist countries "subsistence plus" producers were reduced to less than subsistence producers by the lower prices of the agricultural goods being produced cheaply, and being delivered quickly, from Argentina, Australia, Canada, and the United States. Inside the more advanced capitalist countries, debt, the picture to the Dorian Gray of capitalism, was eating its way through the smaller producers. Where it was ruined, small agricultural production was not reconstituted along the model of the free-soil yeoman farmer. Capital's yeoman days were will in the past. Concentration of capital in manufacturing, concentration of capital amplifying the productivity of agricultural labor, required larger units of production. These rural producers, dispersed by the market, were likewise reconcentrated in cities, or across oceans.
The small farmers experienced everyday what capital experiences, recognizes with a shock, only during its crises-- that the accelerating productivity of labor, in reducing the costs of production in total, as a mass, socially, necessarily devalues the products themswelves. Yesterday's production, produced at yesterday's cost reaches the market just in time to be sold at tomorrow's price which is being steadily eroded by improvements in productivity. Sooner and later, all value is devalued in the pursuit of surplus value.
The "long deflation" was that period where capitalism was establishing its real domination of the world markets, of the productive process, by aggrandizing not just absolute surplus value, by working the laborer for an extended number of hours in order, consuming over a longer duration labor power to expand capital, but aggrandizing relative surplus value, intensifying production through the application of machinery so that the collectivity of laborers, the class of laborers, reproduced the value equal to their wages in less time, making more time surplus labor-time, making the total mass of surplus value extracted-- the valorisation process-- a relatively greater portion of the working time, even as value of the labor as expressed in wages declined in proportion to the total capital employed in the process itself.
In 1840, US cotton mills required 14 labor-hours to produce 9600 yards of cotton sheeting. In 1886, 10 labor-hours yielded 30,000 yards of sheeting. In 1840, the annual wage for mill workers averaged 176 dollars. In 1886, the annual wage averaged 285 dollars. Emerging now from the accelerated productivity of capitalism was its other great secret-- with productivity so high, and output so great, wage increases were increasingly insignificant in the relational costs of production. Wage rates are always significant in their demands on, and challenges to profits, but not as a factor in the pricing of commodities.
Between 1869 and 1890, the US wholesale price index, calculated in constant dollars, declined forty percent. By 1890, the price index for agricultural and manufactured goods was lower than it had been in 1820, or 1830, or 1840, or 1850, or 1860.
Increased productivity, declining prices, efficient transportation drove the expansion of exports from the capitalist countries.. Between 1870 and 1913, the value of exports from twelve western European countries grew 329 percent. Exports from Australia grew 400 percent . US exports grew 600 percent
Wells, and others, recognized that this period of the long deflation was anything but a depression in trade. It was not, except for the periods of its most severe contractions, a depression in production. It was exclusively a depression in profits-- in the rate of return on investment in production. And even then, it was not a depression in profits for all capitalists. Profits were realized. Capital did accumulate. Declining prices allowed the most efficient producers to establish their prices of production as the social prices of production, thus taking market share, and cash flow, away from the less efficient producers.
"The years of expansion were years of large return to the owners of the old investments."-- Arthur Hadley, Railroad Transportation, New York, 1885.
The valorisation process, the extraction of surplus value, cannot exist separate and apart from the production of commodities as both values and useful articles. Use-values are the mules that carry the gold of labor time, of value, through the exchanges of the market. Capitalist production is driven by the need for profit, for the realization of value through exchange. Reproduction, however, is dependent not just upon exchange value, but also upon the utility of the commodities produced. This usefulness is not an usefulness of the individual commodity to the individual consumer, nor of the mass of commodities to the mass of consumers, but rather the social usefulness of the social production of the mass of commodities. The utility of the commodities depends on the level of social development. When capital overproduces, it is always overproducing capital. It is producing commodities beyond its own ability to maintain social development. Production outpaces reproduction. Value struggles. Commodities accumulate, clump, coagulate rather than circulate. Markets don't just shrink in size, but falter in time. The shrinkage is simultaneously a decline in the volume of exchanges and a lengthening of the time of achieving exchanges-- turnover time, the velocity of capital's exchanges in the markets, lengthens. Commodities remain longer in warehouses, on ships. Ships become warehouses. The means of transport themselves accumulate, rather than circulate. Value, with a half-life measured in hours if not minutes, decays. The limit to the developmeent of capital is capitalist development.
"In the three years 1880-1882, we built 29,000 miles of railroads, an addition of thirty-four percent to the railroad mileage of the country. Not more than one third of these were justified by existing business. Another third, perhaps, were likely to be profitable at some future date, or at any rate to be of real service to the community; but not now. Of the remainder, some were built to increase the power of existing systems, where they were not needed on their own account. Some were built to put money into the hands of the builders, as distinct from the owners. Some were built to sell, as a blackmailing scheme against other roads....
The rest of the story is soon told. Insolvent themselves, they dragged their solvent competitors down to their own level. The causes whin in 1879-'81 had operated to produce an advance soon passed away. The natural decline, which at best would have cut down the profit of the permanent investments, found some of them loaded with a weight of new debt, and many of them struggling against the reckless competition of insolvent rivals...What has been true of railroads hs been true of other forms of permanent investment. First, high charges and high profitrs. Then speculative investments in the same line. Next an overstocked market, and no profit at all. Finally, cutthroat competition and the widespread insolvency."--Hadley
During the best of times, the circulation of commodities cannot keep up with the capitalist production of commodities. For the valorization process to be sustained, production must be maintained on a continuous basis. The application of more efficient machinery-- the fixed portion of the capitalist's "constant capital"-- requires, not individually for each production unit but socially, greater volumes energy, raw materials, intermediate inputs. Socially the process requires greater outlays of money before production can be valorized. Socially, circulation time cannot absorb, exchange the masses of commodities quickly enough to re-finance production, to sustain the rate of reproduction.
In this tension in between production and circulation, credit and finance are born. During the best of times, credit and finance are imagined by the capitalist as smoothing over the uneveness of the markets, as buying the time until the market makes the time of production good. During the best of times, credit and finance are the bourgeoisie's attempt to paper over, and to repress, the expanding hole in their pockets. Yet, credit and finance, secured by claims against the value of the commodities to be produced and circulated, are the extrusion of the self-contained negation of value inherent in every commodity. During the worst, or next to worst of times, which are any times not the best of times to our bourgeoisie, credit and finance confirm the inability of value to prove its own utility. The expanding production of value becomes the basis for the devaluation, the social devaluation, of the mode of value production.
Economists have long talked of a "scissors crisis" afflicting agricultural producers in modern capitalism; a crisis where the productivity of agriculture drives down the price of its products to its cost of production, but the capital costs of the inputs to maintain that productivity--machinery, fertilizers, pesticides, irrigation,etc.-- continue to rise. This creates an ever widening spread between the two points of the scissors, which the farmer attempts to close through the assumption of debt. However, the scissors crisis is not solely about the growing divergence between the cost of inputs and the cost of production. The scissors crisis is also about the time-lag between production and realization, where the farmer in essence mortgages the anticipated future yield to begin current production. Any delay, disruption, in production, and/or dimished yield in circulation wipes out the value, or a portion of the value of the investment made in the "capital assets" required for production, as the collateralization of the debt demands either liquidation of the these assets or the assumption of more debt as the small farmer is forced to mortgage next year's crops in order to fund this year's failed reproduction.
The intermediate result of the widening of the scissors is the expansion of debt, which compels greater production, greater masses of commodities pushed into the markets in the attempt to recuperate the previous loss. This overproduction further drives down the market prices of the agricultural commodities. With each increase in productivity, the value of and in each individual unit of the products-- a bushel of wheat, or corn; a gallon of milk--contracts, while the mass of values expands. The price of production, or market price, of any single unit, and all the units, tends towards the cost of production, compressing profits and profitability. Any failure to realize the total value of the total product creates a contagious devaluation of all products.
The scissors stretches and strains the agricultural producer as the points open, as the cost of the inputs and the price of the product diverge. The scissors cuts the agricultural producer as the points close, as the market price of agricultural commodities trends toward the actual cost price.
This process creates ever greater concentrations of capital in ever fewer hands; it creates ever larger units of production controlled by ever fewer owners.
Agriculture is not just agriculture, it is capitalist agriculture, and the scissors that strains and cuts the farmer is the same scissors at work in all of capitalism, in the development of industrial production, in the continuous amplification of the productivity of labor through the application of machinery to the production process, the scissors crisis becomes the emblem of all capitalism. Value production becomes devaluation. Declining prices and increased capital investment were the two points of a scissors that cut both ways against itself.
This was the source of the long deflation. It was the era that saw, and felt, the transformation of the valorisation process from one based on the extraction of absolute surplus value, lengthening of the working day, to a process dependent upon the extraction of relative surplus value, intensifying the productivity of labor.
The repercussions of this transformation were brutal to the workers, the poor, and the small producers, and terrifying to the bourgeoisie. The market, by which the bourgeoisie supposedly measured all things, was measuring capitalism and capitalism was coming up short. There was no reversing the effects of the transformation on the workers, the rural small producers. The bourgeoisie did not desire such a reversal. What the bourgeoisie did desire was insulation, protection from the market forces of its own creation. What the bourgeoisie did desire was relief from the conflict at the heart of commodity production, between value, appropriated from the productivity of labor-power, which could only be realized through the social utility of the commodities, and the very same productivity of labor which made value inconsequential, superfluous, and revealed capital as an obstacle to the development of social utility.
Relief was attempted in a variety of manners-- it was sought in the establishment of trusts, syndicates, in tremendous concentrations of capital, the largest of the large, the bourgeoisie knowing that size really does matter. The bourgeoisie thought they were establishing prices, controlling the market through control of production when in essence the trusts, syndicates were simply mechanisms for the rationing of the socially available profit.
Relief was sought in the linkage between industry and banks, in the creation of banks by industry, to provide financing, and to maintain a means for aggrandizing the already accumulated wealth of others.
Relief was sought in regulation, in the federal government pre-empting all the local and state governments and set uniform rates, rendering uniform judgements, with the government acting as the measure, a stand-in, for social utility.
Relief was sought in exclusion of sections of the population from the requirements, benefits, and costs of social development. In the midst of the 1893-1898 spasmodic contraction, the US Supreme Court confirmed that the South had not only risen again, had not only "redeemed" itself, but had indeed conquered, with its decision in Plessy v. Ferguson, excluding black Americans from equal protection.
Relief was sought in empire-- where the burdens, the costs, the responsibilities of social development could be ignored, repressed; where production was extraction and reproduction was subjugation; where modern capitalism declared it had not the desire, the need, nor the ability to revolutionize the relations of land and labor; where capitalism reinforced, and is reinforced by debt peonage, sub-subsistence wages made possible through the practics of subsistence agriculture; where capitalism in its real domination takes on the formal appearance of the inquisitor, the hacendado, the guarantor of immiseration, marginalization.

Sources: Railroad Transportation, Arthur Hadley, G.P. Putnam's Sons, 1885. Railroading Economics, Michael Perelman, Monthly Review Press, 2006. Special thanks to Michael for challenging me to read his book. Recent Economic Changes, David A. Wells, D. Appleton and Co. 1889. Railroads and Regulation 1877-1916, Gabriel Kolko, Princeton University Press, 1965. Capital, Vol. 2, 3, Karl Marx, Charles H. Kerr & Co., 1919. "Commodities as the Product of Capital," Karl Marx, as reproduced by the Marxist Internet Archive, www.marxists.org, "The Direct Production Process," Karl Marx, as reproduced by the Marxist Internet Archive. The World Economy, Vols. 1 & 2, Angus Maddison, OECD, 2006. BicentennialEdition, Historical Statistics of theUnited States, Colonial Times to 1970, Parts 1&2, US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, 1975.

January 4, 2010

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Next: OPL&L-- Mexico, Revolution, and the Forty Percent Bourgeoisie.



.

Saturday, October 31, 2009

Time Up, Time Down

An Agreement Was Reached

Big surprise... an agreement was reached between... different sections, different agents of the same ruling class. And on what did these different clowns in the same circus agree? They agreed on a charade. A pantomime. A folie a deux.

Said Alphonse to Gaston, "After you." Said Gaston to Alphonse, "Oh no, after you. I insist."

Said Micheletti to US assistant secretary of State for Western Hemispheric Affairs Thomas Shannon, "I'll pretend to agree to recognize that Zelaya might return to office four weeks prior to new elections, with no control over the military, with no agitation for a constituent assembly, with no penalty to coup-iers."

Said Zelaya to Shannon, "I'll pretend that I'm actually returning to office, with no control over the military, with no constituent assembly, with no penalty to coup-iers, and proclaim a great victory."

Said Tom to Hillary, channeling the former president, "Mission accomplished."

This agreement is an attempt at misdirection, at disorientation of the resistance to the coup, which of course, is more than a resistance to the coup but the initial eruption of a revolutionary struggle.

Even if accepted by the Congress and the Supreme Court, the agreement pretends to allow Zelaya to return to office in only a ceremonial role, as the military would be under the control of the electoral commission, and the election is going to be held in 4 weeks. And of course, the old razzle-dazzle of truth commissions, a government of national reconciliation blahblahblah will function as spectacle, to obscure and distract from the real, material, economic circumstances that precipitated the movement into the streets at the opportunity of Zelaya's removal.
The police, secret police, paramilitary organizations, the practitioners of terror against the rural and urban poor, are maintained in their positions without penalty except of course the revolutionary penalty that the movement can impose itself-- and if that should occur, Zelaya, Micheletti, Shannon, Clinton, Reich, the OAS, will be united in a government of international reconciliation denouncing such self-defense by the poor as "destabilizing" to the prospects of "democracy," detrimental to the legitimacy of the truth commissions blahblahblah-- all that junk that capitalism circulates as exchange value without any corresponding use value.

The agreement prohibits action on behalf of a constituent assembly until after January, when a new government is in power. The bourgeoisie know that the key to maintaining political power when bankruptcy looms is the same as the key for maintaining property and business by any individual capitalist when economic bankruptcy looms--- delay. Restructure, reorganize, even if its only the deck chairs on the sinking ship. In short, buy time-- buy time, buying time, of course is literally what makes the bourgeoisie bourgeoisie. The time expropriated, equally of course, is that time that might,could, must be seized by others; that time that belongs to those others; that time that belongs to those others who labor in the maquiladoras, on the plantations, on their minifundias .
A constituent assembly is no solution to the problems faced by the workers and poor in Honduras as such an assembly is a political form, reproducing in essence the illusory separation of property from social struggle, an illusion that, like the buying of time, also allows the bourgeoisie to function as the bourgeoisie, as a ruling class with class obscured. The conflict in Honduras is, however, exactly the social combat that dispels such illusions, that identifies class and property as the content, the substance of the struggle. As such, success for the workers, urban and rural poor of Honduras, exists outside and beyond the demands for a constituent assembly. Any possibility of success necessarily exists only in the organizations those workers, those poor create in the self-defense of the reclamation of their own time.

The bourgeoisie, however, see, feel, sense, behind the demand for the form of the constituent assembly just that substance. In their recognition the historical impossibility, the obsolescence of their own political forms, the bourgeoisie are in substance admitting the obsolescence of their property, of themselves, of their time.

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Friday, October 16, 2009

A Bit of Clarity....

...as opposed to the "dollar is dead, or dying and governments are getting close to abandoning its in favor of the [yen, euro, yuan, SDR, virtual currency, Krugerrand, pick any or all, or make up you own]...." being sung in harmony by the hustlers, hucksters, flim-flammers of pseudo-left, populist right, China promoters, Lula lovers, Russian dolls etc. etc. etc.

First point of clarity: governments do NOT and cannot control currency exchange markets. Central bank reserves of the world's largest central banks combined do not approach the currency reserves of the private speculators, traders, funds, investment- merchant- commercial banks making and trading in those markets. And while those private sources trade the dollar down, central bankers continue to purchase dollar-denominated instruments for holding reserves.

Why do the central banks do this? Because there is no alternative. Because there is no market as huge, as liquid, as accessible as the market for US Treasury instruments.

Second point of clarity: the movement away from the dollar and into other currencies is not a vote on the future of the US economy; is not an index to the "cracking" of the facade of US primacy; and certainly does not occur in isolation.

The movement away from the dollar by those same funds, traders, etc. is part of the general "relaxation," the sigh of relief and hope that the worst is over, and a return to "RISK" as a way to generate some actual RETURNS.

The movement away from the dollar is part of a trend, process, dynamic that has driven up prices and volumes in the stock exchanges of the US, the developed countries, and emerging markets.

The movement away from the dollar is part of the trend that has seen increases in aluminum prices despite immense overproduction, improvement in steel prices, oil cracking $70/barrel, the issuance of huge amounts of corporate debt snapped up in the bond markets, the rise in commodity prices, etc. etc.

The trading in the markets is being fed by streams of liquidity moving out of the safety of government guaranteed programs and issues; other streams of liquidity provided directly to banks and traders by governments, bankers and traders who, while more than happy to borrow from the Fed or the Treasury at zero interest rates, will not invest in Fed or Treasury instruments that do not offer enough return, or enough return to offset the risks in the instrument itself [i.e. FNMA, FMAC security issues].

Those who think the flight from the dollar indicates the weakness of US capitalism, the loss of the dollar's centrality to capitalist exchanges, are making an equal and opposite mistake to those who not so long ago saw the soaring price of oil as an index to the approaching post "peak" production era, and the soon to disappear supplies of oil. In the case of oil, there was the confusion of use-value with exchange value. In the case of the dollar, there is confusion of money as a store of value and a means of circulation, with its, money's own need, to function as "capital"-- seeking out profit, an expansion of value.


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Thursday, October 01, 2009

Yesterday's News

There were some events of importance in the world yesterday, apart from the spectacle
surrounding Roman Polanski, although nothng of that significance as Brad and Angelina did not adopt the octuplets.

For one thing, continuing the work of his predecessor, Obama [his face
rapidly changing to resemble that of Ronald Reagan] followed through on the
investigation into the legal status of workers employed by the Los Angeles
based American Apparel. The company decided to resolve the issue by firing
1800 workers.

Most of those fired, reported the New York Times, were women; many the sole
support for their families. Meet the internal maquiladora, same as the
external maquiladora.

The owner of the company, Dov Charney was busy assuring investors that the
firings would not impact business as production was already down due to the
recession. Oh, happy synchronicity-- firing the workers brings the company
into compliance with the demands of the Dept. of Homeland Security, and..
right sizes the company in these difficult times. Who says markets aren't
efficient?

Meanwhile, John T. Morton, Asst. Sec. of Homeland Security, and in charge of
the Immigration and Customs sector stated:

"Now all manner of companies face the very real possibility that the
government, using our basic civil power, is going to come knocking at the
door."

Isn't that wonderful? Wonder how the US Chamber of Commerce feels about
that? Actually, I don't. But I do wonder why Homeland Security has such all encompassing
power-- currently the dept. has initiated audits of the employment records
of 645 companies-- but OSHA seems to have so little. OK, I lied again. I
don't wonder, I know why.

Meanwhile... the Census Bureau reported that the TARP and stimulus programs
are working just as intended as poverty rates rose in 31 states and DC in
2008, with children particularly hard hit. Poverty rates for children in
poverty rose in 26 states and DC. Yes, we can! Yes, we can, can, sang
the Pointer Sisters.

Trent Lott isn't worried, as Mississippi kept its pole position as number
one with a bullet in the poverty derby with a rate of 21.2% of the
population existing below the poverty line. Way to go, Trent! Give us a
rebel yell!

Meanwhile, Venezuela will issue 3 billion dollars in bonds, denominated in
US currency in an attempt to soak up some dollars in the system and close
the gap, hopefully, between the official rate of exchange and the real,
street rate of exchange. The issue is being managed by Deutsche Bank and
Citigroup. So nice of Hugo to throw a little business to these two
hard-pressed financial corporations

Meanwhile, I don't want to rain on anybody's parade, or parade on anybody's
green shoots, but the FDIC admitted its insurance fund is tapped out after
only 95 banks have failed so far this year, and will ask for pre-payment by
member banks of premiums due over the next 3 years. Each bank remitting
the amount in full before January 1, will receive a "Get Out of Jail Free"
card, endorsed by Sheila Bair and countersigned by Ben Bernacke.

In other news, none of it good for the old FDIC insurance fund, the IMF
expects write downs in the financial sector of another 1.5 trillion dollars,
bringing the estimated total to 3.4 trillion dollars. Of that 3.4, 2.8 trillion in losses belong
to banks. IMF also estimates that US banks have written down 60% of their
non-performing troubled assets, but the European Union has written off only
40 percent. Do the math and the estimates yield totals of $900 billion in
losses for US banks, and $1.9 trillion in losses for European banks. What
was it Brody said to Quint in Jaws? "You're gonna need a bigger boat."
Note to Ben Bernacke-- keep those open ended credit swap lines in place for
awhile.

The IMF is way too optimistic, and way underestimating the exposure of US
banks to bad loans; to commercial real estate; construction companies;
private equity corporations; to commercial mortgage backed securities; to
bad credit card debt. Me, ever the one to look on the bright side, think
the remaining exposure is about twice what the IMF estimates, and US banks
are nowhere near the 60% level. Sorry, Sheila, perhaps you should get the
4th and 5th years prepaid while your at it. Tell the banks to think of it
as..... as a loan? No, they don't do much of that anymore. As an asset?
Nah... hey tell them to think of it as a collateralized debt obligation,
since you could post as collateral all those assets you absorbed as part of
the deals persuading bad banks to take over worse banks. Then keep the
money, and give the assets right back to the banks, so we can start all over
again.

Meanwhile, CIT is facing, again, bankruptcy, again. This primary source of
credit for small and medium and enterprises, for financing inventory and
purchase-- for "factoring," is going down, and the third time is not the
charm.

Not to worry, companies start reporting 3rd quarter results soon and the
street is abuzz with talk of major companies, and major numbers of
companies, exceeding analysts' expectations. In the words of Hudson, "I
feel safer already." Hudson also said [in
Aliens. Did I mention that?]
"Stop your grinnin, and drop your linen" which I think is somehow a bit
more accurate in describing the current and future conditions.

Anyway, that's the news, now back to our 24 hour coverage of the Polanski
story, with expert analysis provided by Kobe Bryant of the Los Angeles
Lakers, and Luis Polonia former major league baseball outfielder.

S. Artesian, October 1, 2009
address all comments to-- oh, never mind.

Sunday, September 27, 2009

Accumulation/Decomposition in the Epoch of Lift and Separate, Part 1

I. The News from China

On the one hand...

"Industrial production continued to speed up. In August, the total value added of the industrial enterprises above designated sized was up 12.3 percent year on year or...

On the other hand...

0.5 percentage points lower than that in August 2008, or....

Back of the hand...

1.5 percentage points higher than that in July 2009; it was the fourth consecutive month which witnessed an acceleration of year-on-year growth. In the first eight months of this year, it was up 8.1 percent year-on-year, which....

While on the back of the other hand...

was down 7.6 percentage point over that in the same period last year, or...

On the one hand...

0.6 percentage points higher than that in the first seven months in 2009."

--Li Xiaochao
Spokesman
National Bureau of Statistic of China
"China's Major Economic Indicators in August"

And on the one hand...

"Investment in primary industry, secondary industry, and the tertiary industry went up by 60.4 percent, 27.0 percent, and 37.3 percent respectively."

On the other hand...

"Industrial profit in 22 regions realized 1,110.7 billion yuan from January to July, declined 17.3 percent year on year"

On the one hand...

"[profit decline] narrowed 3.8 percentage point over the first half of the year..."

On that same hand...

The profits of 14 industrial sectors increased within 39 sectors of the industrial sectors...

On the other hand...

the decreasing rate [of profit declines] of nine industrial sectors narrowed over the first half of the year, and...

On the one hand...

the profits of 4 industrial sectors increased

--Chinese Bureau of Statistics
"Industrial Profits Kept Dipping from January to July"

Two hands...



(Sector) General Purpose Machinery (Profit change) +3.9% (Fixed Asset Change) +43.1%

Steel -77.3%, +10.8%

Non-ferrous metals -63.9%, +21.7%

Electronics -43.5%, +4.7%

Transportation Equipment +4.7%, +35.2%

No Hands....

In August, the Aluminum Company of China, Chinalco reported a net loss for the first half 2009 of 3.52 billion yuan and reduced output by 32 percent.

On the one hand...

Between 2004 and 2006, high yield debt in Pacific Asia, including China, grew 53 percent.

On the other hand...

Time for a haircut. Foreign holders of the high yield debt of Asia Aluminum Holdings, a China based, an insolvent, aluminum fabrication enterprise received 1% of the face value of their holdings.

Resolution of the FerroChina corporate bankruptcy provided zero percent renumeration to offshore foreign holders of the company's 4130 million in bond, while other foreign holders received 60 cents on the dollar.

While on the other hand...

CIC-- China's sovereign wealth fund-- joined with Qatar, Simon Glick, and Morgan Stanley in a syndicated equity purchase of 800 million pounds in the nearly bankrupt London based prime manager of nearly empty Canary Wharf, Songbird Estates.

On the one hand....

The major portion of profits earned in China by US and European banks in China comes from establishing, and acting as a counterparty for, derivative contracts with large state-owned companies. In 2008, derivative contracts on the movement of the Australian dollar cost Citic Pacific almost $2 billion. Fuel hedge contracts entered into by China Eastern Airlines, Air China, and China Ocean with Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup cost the transport companies more than $1 billion when the price of oil collapsed in 2008-2009.

Biting the one hand...

China's Asset Supervision and Administration Commission of the State Council declared its support for the efforts of Chinese companies to have the loss-making derivative contracts declared null and void.

On the one hand...

Bank of China announced it will launch a fund to invest in hedge funds-- a "fund of funds."

While on the other hand...

Estimates are that almost two thousand hedge funds have closed in 18 months while the market values of assets held by the "funds of funds" have declined by 40 percent.

Feeding the hand that bites you...

China Investment Corporation, China's sovereign wealth fund, has agreed to invest $1 billion with Oaktree Capital Management LP of the United States. Oaktree Capital specializes in "vulture investing," accumulating "distressed" debt securities of companies in, or close to, insolvency. CIC already has stakes in "funds of funds" operated by Blackstone Group LP and Morgan Stanley. CIC is expected to invest another $2 billion with hedge funds.

In both hands...

Accumulation and decomposition.

In one word...

Overproduction. Overproduction is always the overproduction of capital.

Saturday, August 22, 2009

Honduras

1. Cowboy Up!
Taking the lessons learned at the feet of the US military to heart, the Republic of Honduras' Cobra squadron woke the president of that country to tell him the bad news: 1) he was no longer president; 2) he never really was president; 3) there really isn't a republic of Honduras; 4) a plane was waiting to take him to that haven of stability, productive farms, and CIA stations, Costa Rica; 5) he would have to leave his credit cards behind.
Zelaya, blinking in the beams of the US military issued flashlights, appeared confused. "Where am I?" he asked, "Haiti?"
Haiti, indeed. The same ratbag collection of consultants, counterrevolutionaries, drug dealers, death squaders, entrepreneurs, landowners, and hedge funders came together once again. And not just through necessity, but through natural affinities, through a veritable kinship, through blood, albeit the spilled blood of others.
Once again, in Honduras as in Haiti, each bosom clasped the other to itself. Once again, that brotherhood of Blackberrys, rifles, and jump boots secured the expulsion of a president. Honoring the 40 year anniversary of the moon landing, the brotherhood announced its actions as one small step forward for CAFTA, and one giant step backward for humankind.
In Honduras as in Haiti, the once and former president had run afoul of.... privatization. Aristide had opposed the World Bank's schemes for the privatizaton of Haiti's government owned utilities. Actually, he had done more than just oppose these schemes. He actually wrote a book against those schemes, thereby enraging those stormtroopers of free marketeerism, those buccaneers of the digital age for whom asset-stripping, the annihilation not just of usefulness but of value and utility coincident, is the greatest good for the greatest number with that greatest number being, of course, 1.
Aristide expressed his opposition throughout his first administration, earning the enmity of the Clintonians and his first overthrow. He maintained that opposition throughout his second administration, earning the enmity of Bushites and his second overthrow.
There is no doubt that the coup in Honduras, the rousting of a president by a para-military elite, his extraordinary rendition to a life in exile, was anything other than free market at work. Behind every free market there's a death squad.
There is no doubt that the motivation for the coup was the same motivation that guides US capitalism and its handmaidens, its beneficiaries, its shills, its agents, its remoras, in every action in every second of every day. And those motivations are fear and greed.
Fear-- by joining ALBA, in embracing Chavez, Zelaya would subvert Honduras' status as a US dependency, which since the US accounts for 45% of Honduran exports and imports produced in the bourgeoisie, big and little, north and central, fear, loathing, and nausea.
Greed-- eager to take advantage of the provisions of the CAFTA agreement, anxious to do to Honduras what "private equity" firms had to done to corporations at home and abroad, the new/old, conservative/liberal, big/little, north/central alliance of the bourgeoisie was determined to strip the assets of public utilities away from the Honduran government.
It, asset stripping of public utilities is not a new endeavor for our liquidationist-monetarist, hedge fund, death squad bourgeoisie. Asset stripping has been around since before the Washington Consensus. Indeed, without the asset-stripping as practiced and enshrined in the Reagan administration, the Washington Consensus never would have existed. Property, after all, does determine ideology.
Bolivia in 1994, during Goni's first administration, saw the passage of the capitalization law aimed a privatizing the public sector, the mines, the airline, telecommunications, electricity generation, gas and oil, the railways, etc, with 50 percent of ownership offered directly to private investors, and the other 50 percent to be held "in trust" for the public, a trust organized as pension funds to be administered by international money managers. Among the utilities to be
privatized, the public water utility which supplied El Alto, in the mountains above La Paz.

Halliburton, and later French Suez, salivating over converting such a universal necessity into a commodity to be traded, hedged, detached from social need and transformed into private property, targeted the water supply like a terrorist would target a city bus. Everything under capitalism is held hostage; exchange value becomes a ransom-generating vehicle. Every capitalist a landlord! Every landlord a kidnapper! Not just profit, RENT!
During Goni's second administration, the residents of El Alto organized in neighborhood councils to expel Halliburton, and Suez, and restore the water and its distribution to the municipal water utility. The struggle over water soon merged with the struggle over the privatization of the petroleum sector, and Goni fled his office with the residents of El Alto, and the miners, and the school teachers, and the rural poor of the country in hot pursuit. This time, of course, this president was only too happy to accept the military's offer of air transport to a place of greater safety-- Florida.
The bourgeoisie, big/little, north/central, might have targeted Honduras' public water utility, if Honduras had a developed and functional water utility, but it doesn't. Access to safe, public, water supplies and sanitation in the urban areas is available to barely 2/3 of the population. In rural areas, less than half those classified as extremely poor even have access to septic tanks for sanitation.
No, water wasn't the target as that would have required our liquidationist bourgeoisie to actually develop and accumulate an asset prior to stripping it.
Telephones... there was the target. The national telephone company, Hondutel, was the prize kept in the eyes of our CAFTA raiders. And why not? In 2006, the IMF had already stated and in public that "the implementation of CAFTA and the opening of the telecommunications market will help build growth prospects...," adding, somewhat ominously, "although there will be a need for measures to offset lower government revenues." And what was that offset to be? Why, of course, nothing other than an agreement by the Honduran government to limit wages paid to the public sector employees, particularly teachers. Wrote our IMFers, "key policy achievements include fiscal adjustment, particularly by controlling the increase of the wage bill." There we have it, the compressed identity of modern capitalism, asset-stripping and wage reductions.. in short the continuous reproduction of poverty, and the permanent development of underdevelopment.
The bourgeoisie, big/little, north/central knew that even during this, by many measures, the most severe economic contraction since the Great Depression, a contraction that had reduced the flow of emigrants from Honduras, Mexico, all of Central America seeking work in El Norte; even during this contraction dramatically reducing the remittance from those workers still employed or not in the country of above ground under water real estate; just knew that those still in the big land of the subprime mortgage, the subminimum wage, the substandard education would still want to call home.
Zelaya, to the chagrin of his own party, his own class, had opposed, actually resisted, this asset stripping.
So...so our little brother bourgeoisie of Honduras, weak, stunted, impoverished, venal, vicious, a too perfect homunculus of their big brother/patrons to the North, flipped the script yet again on the "usual history" of the bourgeoisie's "rise to power." Where in the advanced countries, the bourgeoisie used their wealth to obtain government power, in the "undeveloped" countries of Central America, the bourgeoisie used governmental power as a means to amassing wealth. In this latest iteration, the little/big, north/central bourgeoisie find their opportunity for wealth in "dismantling" government, in privatizing the public revenue of the public utilities:
"A cell phone in every hand!"
"A connection fee for every call!"
"Every connection fee in my pocket!"
That's the future as envisioned, as practiced, by our rentier-monetarist bourgeoisie of CAFTA.
[For a solid discussion of this coup d'telephone see this summer's writings of Machetera at: http://machetera.wordpress.com].
2. No Time For Cowboys
If the bourgeoisie, big/little, central/north, exiled, expelled, exported one of their own over what surely to them was the issue of fee splitting, we don't have to imagine, we know what they have done, are doing, and will do against those others, the urban and rural poor, the workers of the maquiladoras, the landless, the subsistence producers.
We know that our little/big, central/north, bourgeoisie, embracing the legacy of their Spanish/English mercantile/capitalist forefathers have created in Honduras the second poorest country in Latin America; a country with an infant mortality rate of 24 per thousand; a country where the income share of the poorest 20 percent of the population is 2.5 percent and the income share of the wealthiest 20 percent is 66 percent; a country where 70 percent of the landholders possess 10 percent of the land while 1 percent of the landholders possess 25 percent of the land; a country where more than half the population is poor, where two-thirds of the poor live on less than US $1.50 per day; a country where 50 percent of the rural population toils at subsistence agriculture on hillsides with slopes with a gradient of more than 12 percent; a country where remittances from emigrant laborers grew from 8 percent of GDP in 2000 to 20 percent of GDP in 2006-- and 2006, by no accident, is the year when the rate of profit in industry in the US peaks, the year that brought hundreds of thousands of migrant laborers into the streets of US cities.
Our big/little, north/central bourgeoisie have created in Honduras not just a country but a mirror to the real terms of the reproduction of capital from hacienda to maquiladora.
In its June 2006 assessment of poverty in Honduras, the World Bank wrote:

Poverty in Honduras has hardly changed since 1998, despite economic growth at 3 percent annually in real terms. Although per capita GDP growth has basically been stagnant at 0.3 percent per year, this can only explain, partially, the lack of progress...

That was 2006. In 2007 the World Bank produced its Annual Progress Report [APR] on Honduras' Poverty Reduction Strategy [PRS]. Different year, same report:
Overall incidence of poverty and extreme poverty has fallen only slightly between 2001 and 2006. Inequality has increased..
Subscribing to big brother's Washington Consensus, Honduras in the 1990s reduced tariffs, joined the GATT, established special export processing zones [EPZ], negotiated bi-lateral agreements with Canada, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Panama, Switzerland, Taiwan, and the United States. It was, it is, the era of the maquiladora, and the number of firms availing themselves of the incentives and privileges of the EPZs grew from 24 in 1990 to 306 in 2005 to 313 in 2006. Employment in the EPZs expanded during this same period from 9000 to 130,000. Value added to product grew from US $16.2 million in 1990 to US $970 million in 2005, and exceeded US $ 1 billion in 2006.
By 2006, the maquiladoras accounted for 27 percent of Honduras' exports of goods and service. Traditional exports-- bananas, coffee, precious metals-- had declined from 51 percent of exports to 16 percent of exports.
"Growth!" that was the patent medicine, the miracle in a bottleneck the bourgeoisie promoted.
And who supplied that growth? Who worked in the EPZs, adding all that value to non-traditional exports? Women, of course. In a country where female participation in the non-domestic labor force is barely 50 percent, almost 70 percent of the workers in the EPZs were women. In a country where 4.3 million are of working age, where the average age is 20, in that country of young women and men, 130,000 produced 27 percent of the country's exports.
And of what did these non-traditional exports consist? Textiles and apparel accounted for 51 percent of the output of the EPZs. Where maquiladoras are, where women are the labor force to be exploited intensively, textiles and clothing are the "entry" products.
Twenty four percent of the EPZ output consists of auto components, furniture and wood products.
Textiles, clothing, auto components, furniture, wood products... these are the areas that have suffered for more than just the last 18 months, and from more than just the current economic contraction.
With the admission of China to the WTO and the removal of quotas on China's textile and apparel exports with the expiration of the multifiber agreement [MFA], production in the maquiladoras of Central America, the Caribbean, Africa, the Indian Ocean has declined. Between 1997 and 2002, the average annual rate of growth [AARG] on non-traditional exports from the EPZs in Honduras measured 23 percent, while the rate of growth of the traditional exports measured negative 4 percent. Between 2002 and 2007, however, this relation was reversed with the growth rate of non-traditional exports slowing to 6 percent while that of the traditional exports accelerated to 12s percent per year.
At origin, and throughout its historical development, the economic distress that has affected Honduras, that has so impoverished its population, that has now propelled the population to confront the military is more than impervious to resolution through "growth." That distress is in fact the product of the growth of the world markets, the growth of capitalism which has maintained, enforced, and expanded the growth of underdevelopment. The growth that our charlatan-entrepreneurs flog so zealously as the tonic for all that ails all is nothing but the enclave, concession, special enterprise zoned manifestation of the overproduction of capital.
The struggle in Honduras is precipitated by the same overproduction of capital, the same underdevelopment of a human economy that has precipitated the industrial struggles in South Korea, in France, the UK, China. As such, the struggle has nothing to do, essentially, with the restoration of Zelaya to power; has nothing to do with calls for "democracy," with the demand for a "constituent assembly," all of which only serve to obscure the fundamental class relations at the core. Honduras already has a constitution. It already has a parliament, a supreme court.

The fetishization of "convene a constituent assembly," stemming from the Russian Revolution confuses the inability of a "liberal democratic bourgeoisie" to execute a program for its power [as it could not in Russia in 1917], with the current conditions where the bourgeoisie already have their political power and need no longer obscure class relations behind "democracy," behind a parliament, behind a constitution. This is, here and now in Honduras, as liberal and democratic as the bourgeoisie gets. To demand a "constituent assembly" in Honduras is to obscure the origin and resolution of the situation in class struggle. The sham constituent assembly process conducted by Morales in Bolivia says all that needs to be said about the significance, the class content, of the "constituent assembly."
The workers, students, the urban and rural poor, the women of the maquiladoras will find the solution the the "problem" of underdevelopment/overproduction in their own strike committees, defense committees-- in the example of the neighborhood councils of El Alto in Bolivia, and not in the charade, and dead, literally, end, literally of a "constituent assembly."
S. Artesian
address all comments to: sartesian@earthlink.net